Game by game
Seismograph
DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.
- Season change
- -0.22
- -0.49 before the first game, -0.71 before the last game
- Biggest boost
- +0.40
- Oct 24 vs NYK · 14 min
- Biggest drop
- -0.48
- Oct 22 vs PHI · 16 min
- Typical change per game
- 0.10
- Last 15 games, vs 0.16 in the first 15. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.
Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
-0.7 at age 27 in 2025-26 ranks 520th of 924 age-27 seasons since 1996-97. Closest match: Shaquille Harrison, 2020-21.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shaquille Harrison 2020-21 | 27 | -0.1 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 84 |
| Michael Carter-Williams 2018-19 | 27 | -0.5 | +0.9, +0.7, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 84 |
| Darrell Arthur 2014-15 | 27 | -0.1 | +0.1, -0.7, -0.7, under 10 games, under 10 games | 83 |
| DeAndre' Bembry 2020-21 | 26 | -0.7 | -0.4, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 83 |
| Quinton Ross 2008-09 | 27 | -0.6 | -2.3, -1.1, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 82 |
| Michael Kidd-Gilchrist 2019-20 | 26 | -0.6 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 82 |
| Alex Len 2019-20 | 27 | -0.5 | -0.1, -1.4, -1.0, +1.0, -2.3 | 82 |
| Robert Sacre 2015-16 | 26 | -0.9 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 82 |
| Andrew DeClercq 1999-00 | 27 | -0.1 | +1.9, +1.2, +1.0, +0.8, under 10 games | 82 |
| Kyle Anderson 2019-20 | 26 | -0.1 | +1.7, +0.6, +1.0, 0.0, -0.7 | 82 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Xavier's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Historical comps
Echoes today
Current players whose ten closest comps include one of Xavier Tillman's seasons, at the same age.
- Lachlan Olbrich CHI like his 2020-21 87
Match score out of 100: how close the current player's season is to that one.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Xavier Tillman's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $2.0M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $2.5M
- Actual
- Surplus
- -$0.6M
- Value minus salary
- Seasons left
- 0.0
- Projected
- Retires at
- 27.5
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | CHA | 27 | 30 | 6.1 | -0.71 | -2.31 | +1.61 | 520th of 924 |
| 2024-25 | BOS | 26 | 33 +1 | 7.0 | -0.59 | -1.94 | +1.35 | 534th of 1010 |
| 2023-24 | BOS | 25 | 54 +8 | 18.0 | -0.12 | -1.91 | +1.80 | 380th of 1078 |
| 2022-23 | MEM | 24 | 61 +6 | 19.3 | -0.19 | -1.18 | +0.98 | 376th of 1185 |
| 2021-22 | MEM | 23 | 53 +9 | 13.2 | -0.34 | -1.29 | +0.95 | 370th of 1100 |
| 2020-21 | MEM | 22 | 59 +3 | 18.4 | -0.77 | -1.49 | +0.72 | 357th of 813 |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections. It projects no minutes for Xavier Tillman right now, so there is no per-game line.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 12.9 | — |
| Rebounds | 12.1 | — |
| Offensive | 4.7 | — |
| Defensive | 7.3 | — |
| Assists | 2.9 | — |
| Steals | 2.2 | — |
| Blocks | 1.7 | — |
| Turnovers | 2.2 | — |
| 3-pt attempts | 4.4 | — |
| FG attempts | 11.9 | — |
| FT attempts | 2.7 | — |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 44.5% · 27.4% · 61.7% | |
