Game by game
Seismograph
DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.
- Season change
- -2.22
- -0.31 before the first game, -2.52 at the end
- Biggest boost
- +0.18
- Feb 6 vs LAC · 18 min
- Biggest drop
- -0.28
- Feb 4 vs MEM · 22 min
- Typical change per game
- 0.08
- Last 19 games, vs 0.09 in the first 19. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.
Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
-2.5 at age 31 in 2025-26 ranks 563rd of 616 age-31 seasons since 1996-97. Closest match: Jerry Stackhouse, 2005-06.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jerry Stackhouse 2005-06 | 31 | -2.4 | -2.1, -2.4, -4.0, -2.7, under 10 games | 85 |
| Allan Houston 2001-02 | 30 | -1.7 | -0.2, -1.2, -0.6, under 10 games, under 10 games | 84 |
| Stephon Marbury 2007-08 | 31 | -2.5 | -3.8, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 84 |
| Tracy Murray 2001-02 | 30 | -1.9 | -2.7, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 80 |
| Gary Neal 2014-15 | 30 | -2.8 | -3.5, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 79 |
| Andres Nocioni 2009-10 | 30 | -1.8 | -2.0, -3.2, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 79 |
| Glenn Robinson 2003-04 | 31 | -1.5 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 78 |
| Mo Williams 2013-14 | 31 | -2.2 | -0.8, -4.0, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 78 |
| Nick Young 2015-16 | 30 | -1.7 | -1.1, -2.0, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 78 |
| Jodie Meeks 2017-18 | 30 | -1.4 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 78 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Zach's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Historical comps
Echoes today
Current players whose ten closest comps include one of Zach LaVine's seasons, at the same age.
- Brice Sensabaugh UTA like his 2016-17 89
- Jared McCain OKC like his 2016-17 89
- Jaylen Wells MEM like his 2016-17 89
- Bennedict Mathurin LAC like his 2017-18 88
- Coby White CHA like his 2020-21 87
- Jaden Hardy WAS like his 2017-18 87
- Ace Bailey UTA like his 2014-15 85
- Nolan Traore BKN like his 2014-15 85
Match score out of 100: how close the current player's season is to that one.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Zach LaVine's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- -$3.5M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $47.5M
- Actual
- Surplus
- -$51.0M
- Value minus salary
- Seasons left
- 0.1
- Projected
- Retires at
- 31.5
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | SAC | 31 | 39 | 31.4 | -2.52 | -0.16 | -2.36 | 563rd of 616 |
| 2024-25 | SAC | 30 | 74 | 35.2 | +0.07 | +1.95 | -1.88 | 294th of 697 |
| 2023-24 | CHI | 29 | 25 | 34.9 | +0.08 | +0.94 | -0.86 | 322nd of 774 |
| 2022-23 | CHI | 28 | 77 | 36.0 | +1.06 | +2.05 | -0.99 | 198th of 858 |
| 2021-22 | CHI | 27 | 67 +4 | 34.7 | +0.77 | +1.79 | -1.02 | 243rd of 924 |
| 2020-21 | CHI | 26 | 58 | 35.1 | +1.42 | +2.34 | -0.92 | 172nd of 1010 |
| 2019-20 | CHI | 25 | 60 | 34.8 | +0.10 | +1.12 | -1.02 | 343rd of 1078 |
| 2018-19 | CHI | 24 | 63 | 34.5 | -0.24 | +1.02 | -1.26 | 387th of 1185 |
| 2017-18 | CHI | 23 | 24 | 27.3 | -1.61 | -0.07 | -1.54 | 711th of 1100 |
| 2016-17 | MIN | 22 | 47 | 37.2 | -1.32 | +0.33 | -1.66 | 471st of 813 |
| 2015-16 | MIN | 21 | 82 | 28.0 | -1.26 | +0.40 | -1.66 | 289th of 571 |
| 2014-15 | MIN | 20 | 77 | 24.7 | -2.39 | -0.77 | -1.62 | 271st of 354 |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 25.4 projected minutes and a pace of 94.3.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 27.3 | 13.6 |
| Rebounds | 4.9 | 2.5 |
| Offensive | 0.5 | 0.3 |
| Defensive | 4.4 | 2.2 |
| Assists | 4.4 | 2.2 |
| Steals | 1.1 | 0.6 |
| Blocks | 0.3 | 0.2 |
| Turnovers | 3.3 | 1.7 |
| 3-pt attempts | 10.4 | 5.2 |
| FG attempts | 21.3 | 10.6 |
| FT attempts | 5.5 | 2.8 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 44.9% · 35.5% · 82.3% | |
