Game by game
Seismograph
DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.
- Season change
- +0.56
- -2.72 before the first game, -2.16 before the last game
- Biggest boost
- +1.77
- Nov 28 vs LAL · 23 min
- Biggest drop
- -0.86
- Nov 29 vs LAC · 21 min
- Typical change per game
- 0.23
- Last 20 games, vs 0.49 in the first 20. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.
Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
-2.2 at age 23 in 2025-26 ranks 861st of 1,100 age-23 seasons since 1996-97. Closest match: Troy Hudson, 1998-99.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Troy Hudson 1998-99 | 23 | -1.7 | -3.6, -4.0, -2.4, -1.3, -2.0 | 89 |
| Andre Barrett 2004-05 | 23 | -1.8 | -3.0, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 87 |
| Dean Oliver 2001-02 | 23 | -2.2 | -2.5, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 87 |
| Carlos Arroyo 2001-02 | 22 | -2.4 | -1.7, -0.3, -2.9, -1.9, -2.0 | 87 |
| Anthony Johnson 1997-98 | 23 | -2.7 | -3.1, -3.3, -3.4, -1.5, -1.8 | 86 |
| Eddie Gill 2001-02 | 23 | -2.2 | under 10 games, -1.0, -0.2, 0.0, under 10 games | 86 |
| Goran Dragic 2008-09 | 22 | -2.2 | +0.1, -0.9, +1.4, +1.3, +2.8 | 86 |
| Shane Larkin 2015-16 | 23 | -1.8 | under 10 games, -1.3, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 86 |
| Sergio Rodriguez 2008-09 | 22 | -2.0 | -0.9, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 86 |
| Reggie Geary 1996-97 | 23 | -2.2 | -1.7, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 86 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Ryan's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Ryan Nembhard's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $0.2M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $1.4M
- Actual
- Surplus
- -$1.2M
- Value minus salary
- Seasons left
- 4.1
- Projected
- Retires at
- 27.2
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | DAL | 23 | 60 | 19.5 | -2.16 | -1.25 | -0.91 | 861st of 1100 |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 29.7 projected minutes and a pace of 104.1.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 18.3 | 11.8 |
| Rebounds | 5.7 | 3.7 |
| Offensive | 0.5 | 0.4 |
| Defensive | 5.2 | 3.4 |
| Assists | 11.9 | 7.7 |
| Steals | 1.4 | 0.9 |
| Blocks | 0.3 | 0.2 |
| Turnovers | 3.2 | 2.1 |
| 3-pt attempts | 5.2 | 3.4 |
| FG attempts | 17.2 | 11.1 |
| FT attempts | 1.9 | 1.2 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 43.1% · 34.5% · 79.6% | |
