Game by game
Seismograph
DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.
- Season change
- +0.14
- -1.75 before the first game, -1.61 at the end
- Biggest boost
- +0.51
- Nov 21 vs BOS · 37 min
- Biggest drop
- -0.50
- Nov 2 vs PHI · 15 min
- Typical change per game
- 0.13
- Last 20 games, vs 0.22 in the first 20. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.
Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
-1.6 at age 21 in 2025-26 ranks 368th of 571 age-21 seasons since 1996-97. Closest match: Dzanan Musa, 2019-20.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dzanan Musa 2019-20 | 21 | -1.6 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 91 |
| Kelly Oubre Jr. 2017-18 | 22 | -1.3 | -0.7, +0.5, -2.0, -0.8, -1.0 | 90 |
| Furkan Korkmaz 2018-19 | 21 | -1.3 | -0.2, +0.2, -1.2, -1.7, -1.5 | 89 |
| Moritz Wagner 2018-19 | 21 | -1.5 | -0.4, -1.0, -1.0, -0.3, +0.3 | 89 |
| Evan Fournier 2013-14 | 21 | -1.4 | -1.0, -0.4, -0.2, -0.3, -0.2 | 89 |
| Sasha Pavlovic 2004-05 | 21 | -1.8 | -1.4, -0.2, -2.1, -1.0, -3.1 | 88 |
| Miles Bridges 2019-20 | 21 | -1.6 | +0.2, +1.1, under 10 games, -0.8, -0.1 | 88 |
| Gerald Green 2006-07 | 21 | -1.9 | -2.4, -2.4, under 10 games, under 10 games, -0.8 | 88 |
| Cam Reddish 2020-21 | 21 | -1.2 | -1.2, -2.1, -1.5, -1.7, under 10 games | 88 |
| Harrison Barnes 2013-14 | 21 | -1.6 | +0.7, -0.2, -0.3, -0.9, -0.9 | 87 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Noah's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Noah Clowney's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $3.0M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $3.4M
- Actual
- Surplus
- -$0.4M
- Value minus salary
- Seasons left
- 0.0
- Projected
- Retires at
- 22.0
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | BKN | 21 | 66 | 27.0 | -1.61 | -0.85 | -0.77 | 368th of 571 |
| 2024-25 | BKN | 20 | 46 | 22.7 | -1.98 | -1.28 | -0.70 | 236th of 354 |
| 2023-24 | BKN | 19 | 23 | 16.1 | -1.32 | -1.60 | +0.28 | 49th of 109 |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 24.7 projected minutes and a pace of 93.9.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 23.2 | 11.2 |
| Rebounds | 8.5 | 4.1 |
| Offensive | 1.5 | 0.7 |
| Defensive | 7.0 | 3.4 |
| Assists | 3.0 | 1.4 |
| Steals | 1.4 | 0.7 |
| Blocks | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Turnovers | 2.7 | 1.3 |
| 3-pt attempts | 10.2 | 4.9 |
| FG attempts | 19.4 | 9.4 |
| FT attempts | 6.9 | 3.3 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 39.0% · 32.6% · 77.9% | |
