Keon Ellis
Age 26 · 6'6" · 175 lb
Rookie 2023 · 225 games · 12 playoff games
DPM · #111 of 530
+0.8Game by game
Seismograph
DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.
- Season change
- -0.24
- +1.05 before the first game, +0.81 before the last game
- Biggest boost
- +0.23
- Feb 25 vs MIL · 29 min
- Biggest drop
- -0.42
- Nov 14 vs MIN · 22 min
- Typical change per game
- 0.09
- Last 20 games, vs 0.09 in the first 20. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.
Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
+0.8 at age 26 in 2025-26 ranks 240th of 1,010 age-26 seasons since 1996-97. Closest match: Devean George, 2003-04.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devean George 2003-04 | 26 | +1.1 | +0.2, +0.7, -1.0, -1.4, -2.3 | 88 |
| Iman Shumpert 2015-16 | 25 | +0.6 | -0.6, -0.7, -1.7, -2.1, under 10 games | 86 |
| Gary Harris 2019-20 | 26 | +0.3 | -1.6, -1.0, +0.4, +0.3, +0.4 | 85 |
| James Posey 2002-03 | 26 | +0.6 | +1.9, -0.1, +0.8, +0.5, -0.2 | 83 |
| DerMarr Johnson 2005-06 | 25 | +1.0 | -0.8, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 83 |
| Mario Chalmers 2012-13 | 27 | +0.7 | +1.0, +0.1, +0.4, under 10 games, -0.4 | 83 |
| Thabo Sefolosha 2009-10 | 25 | +0.4 | +0.3, +1.3, +1.9, +0.8, +1.9 | 83 |
| Morris Peterson 2003-04 | 26 | +0.6 | +0.8, +0.2, -0.4, +0.1, -0.1 | 83 |
| Trevor Ariza 2010-11 | 25 | +0.8 | -0.3, 0.0, +2.0, +1.5, +1.3 | 82 |
| Jevon Carter 2020-21 | 25 | +0.5 | -0.3, +0.4, -0.5, 0.0, -1.1 | 82 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Keon's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Keon Ellis's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $4.9M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $2.3M
- Actual
- Surplus
- +$2.6M
- Value minus salary
- Seasons left
- 2.6
- Projected
- Retires at
- 29.2
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | CLE | 26 | 72 +12 | 20.5 | +0.81 | -0.27 | +1.09 | 240th of 1010 |
| 2024-25 | SAC | 25 | 80 | 24.4 | +1.03 | -0.22 | +1.25 | 189th of 1078 |
| 2023-24 | SAC | 24 | 57 | 17.2 | +0.84 | -0.65 | +1.48 | 200th of 1185 |
| 2022-23 | SAC | 23 | 16 | 4.4 | -1.34 | -1.56 | +0.22 | — |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 4.7 projected minutes and a pace of 94.9.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 15.0 | 1.4 |
| Rebounds | 5.6 | 0.5 |
| Offensive | 1.5 | 0.1 |
| Defensive | 4.2 | 0.4 |
| Assists | 2.5 | 0.2 |
| Steals | 2.7 | 0.3 |
| Blocks | 1.3 | 0.1 |
| Turnovers | 1.7 | 0.2 |
| 3-pt attempts | 8.3 | 0.8 |
| FG attempts | 12.0 | 1.1 |
| FT attempts | 2.9 | 0.3 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 41.4% · 36.1% · 75.3% | |