Killian Hayes Profile

Game by game

Seismograph

DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.

Season change: +0.14; -1.51 before the first game, -1.36 before the last game
Biggest boost: +0.49; Mar 10 vs IND · 23 min
Biggest drop: -0.33; Feb 25 vs HOU · 20 min
Typical change per game: 0.06; Last 11 games, vs 0.16 in the first 11. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.

Historical comps

Comps & futures

The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.

-1.4 at age 24 in 2025-26 ranks 737th of 1,185 age-24 seasons since 1996-97. Closest match: Ish Smith, 2012-13.

Comp	Age	DPM then	Next 5 seasons	Match
Ish Smith 2012-13	24	-1.6	-1.0, -1.8, -1.4, 0.0, +0.1	89
Daniel Ewing 2006-07	24	-0.9	under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games	89
Garrett Temple 2010-11	24	-1.6	under 10 games, -1.0, -1.8, -0.9, -0.3	87
John Salmons 2003-04	24	-1.4	-1.0, -1.8, -1.5, -1.8, -1.1	87
Ron Baker 2016-17	24	-1.2	+0.1, -1.2, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games	87
Kris Dunn 2018-19	25	-1.9	-0.2, under 10 games, -1.1, -1.2, -0.3	86
Alex Caruso 2018-19	25	-1.3	+0.9, +0.4, +0.7, +1.2, +1.9	86
Lorenzo Brown 2014-15	24	-1.4	under 10 games, under 10 games, -1.2, -2.7, under 10 games	86
Edmond Sumner 2019-20	24	-1.7	-1.2, under 10 games, -1.2, under 10 games, under 10 games	86
DeAndre' Bembry 2018-19	24	-1.1	-1.0, -0.7, -0.4, under 10 games, under 10 games	86

The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Killian's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.

Historical comps

Echoes today

Current players whose ten closest comps include one of Killian Hayes's seasons, at the same age.

Nolan Traore BKN like his 2020-21 85

Match score out of 100: how close the current player's season is to that one.

Value

Contract & longevity

DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Killian Hayes's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.

Fair value: $4.0M; DARKO's market estimate
Salary: $0.3M; Actual
Surplus: +$3.7M; Value minus salary
Seasons left: 0.0; Projected
Retires at: 25.0; Projected age

Career

Season by season

DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.

Killian Hayes, season by season
Season	Team	Age	Games	MPG	DPM	Off	Def	For his age
2025-26	SAC	24	23	17.6	-1.36	-1.75	+0.39	737th of 1185
2024-25	BKN	23	6	27.1	-1.40	-1.29	-0.11	—
2023-24	DET	22	42	24.0	-2.11	-1.63	-0.48	648th of 813
2022-23	DET	21	76	28.3	-2.57	-1.55	-1.02	490th of 571
2021-22	DET	20	66	25.0	-2.28	-2.64	+0.36	267th of 354
2020-21	DET	19	26	25.8	-2.15	-1.94	-0.21	77th of 109

Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.

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Projections

Projected box score

DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 11.9 projected minutes and a pace of 94.2.

Killian Hayes, projected box score
Stat	Per 100	Per game
Points	15.0	3.5
Rebounds	6.1	1.4
Offensive	0.7	0.2
Defensive	5.3	1.2
Assists	7.8	1.8
Steals	2.1	0.5
Blocks	0.7	0.2
Turnovers	2.9	0.7
3-pt attempts	7.3	1.7
FG attempts	15.2	3.5
FT attempts	3.6	0.8
FG% · 3P% · FT%	37.4% · 30.7% · 80.7%