Tyler Herro Profile

Game by game

Seismograph

DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.

Season change: -1.07; +1.78 before the first game, +0.70 before the last game
Biggest boost: +0.40; Mar 8 vs DET · 30 min
Biggest drop: -0.37; Mar 17 vs CHA · 31 min
Typical change per game: 0.17; Last 16 games, vs 0.12 in the first 16. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.

Historical comps

Comps & futures

The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.

+0.7 at age 26 in 2025-26 ranks 260th of 1,010 age-26 seasons since 1996-97. Closest match: Joe Johnson, 2007-08.

Comp	Age	DPM then	Next 5 seasons	Match
Joe Johnson 2007-08	26	+0.9	+1.5, +2.2, +1.8, +1.9, +2.0	87
CJ Miles 2012-13	26	+0.5	+1.7, +1.9, -0.2, +0.4, +0.6	86
Cuttino Mobley 2001-02	26	+0.7	+0.9, +1.1, +0.1, +0.4, -0.2	85
Jason Richardson 2006-07	26	+1.2	+0.5, +0.3, +1.3, +0.7, +0.6	85
Wesley Matthews 2012-13	26	+0.5	+0.8, +1.2, +0.1, -0.4, -1.3	85
Mike Bibby 2004-05	26	+0.2	+0.2, -0.8, -1.0, -1.1, -0.4	84
Brandon Roy 2010-11	26	+0.6	under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games	84
Hedo Turkoglu 2004-05	26	0.0	+0.8, +1.3, +2.6, +2.7, -0.5	84
Buddy Hield 2018-19	26	+0.4	+0.2, 0.0, -0.5, +0.3, -0.4	83
Reggie Jackson 2015-16	26	+1.3	-0.6, -0.1, +0.7, +0.3, +1.0	83

The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Tyler's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.

Historical comps

Echoes today

Current players whose ten closest comps include one of Tyler Herro's seasons, at the same age.

Cam Whitmore WAS like his 2020-21 86
Matas Buzelis CHI like his 2020-21 86

Match score out of 100: how close the current player's season is to that one.

Value

Contract & longevity

DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Tyler Herro's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.

Fair value: $24.3M; DARKO's market estimate
Salary: $31.0M; Actual
Surplus: -$6.7M; Value minus salary
Seasons left: 3.7; Projected
Retires at: 30.3; Projected age

Career

Season by season

DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.

Tyler Herro, season by season
Season	Team	Age	Games	MPG	DPM	Off	Def	For his age
2025-26	MIA	26	33	31.3	+0.70	+1.95	-1.24	260th of 1010
2024-25	MIA	25	77 +4	35.4	+1.93	+2.58	-0.65	116th of 1078
2023-24	MIA	24	42 +5	33.5	+0.49	+1.05	-0.56	250th of 1185
2022-23	MIA	23	67 +1	34.9	+0.13	+1.12	-0.98	271st of 1100
2021-22	MIA	22	66 +15	32.6	-0.74	+0.47	-1.21	348th of 813
2020-21	MIA	21	54 +4	30.3	-1.32	-0.29	-1.02	299th of 571
2019-20	MIA	20	55 +21	27.4	-1.11	+0.47	-1.58	138th of 354

Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.

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Projections

Projected box score

DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 27.3 projected minutes and a pace of 94.7.

Tyler Herro, projected box score
Stat	Per 100	Per game
Points	26.8	14.4
Rebounds	7.1	3.8
Offensive	0.8	0.4
Defensive	6.4	3.4
Assists	6.2	3.3
Steals	1.1	0.6
Blocks	0.5	0.3
Turnovers	3.2	1.7
3-pt attempts	10.5	5.6
FG attempts	22.0	11.8
FT attempts	4.9	2.7
FG% · 3P% · FT%	43.1% · 35.7% · 86.6%