Eastern Conference
Boston Celtics
Record 5-2Projected 55.0-27.0Playoffs 98.1%Win conference 31.6%Win Finals 17.4%Lottery 1.9%Expected pick 26.1SRS +7.80
DARKO rating · #1 of 30
+8.5Worth about 58 wins over 82 games
Ratings through Nov 2, 2026
Where the rating comes from
Each player's DPM times their share of DARKO's projected team minutes, times five for the five players on the floor, split into offense and defense (points per 100 possessions; 0 is an average player). The columns add up to the team's numbers at the bottom, and offense plus defense is net. Players above average add +8.95; the ones below take away 0.42.
- Jayson Tatum Offense+3.31 Defense+0.07 Net+3.38
- Derrick White Offense+0.68 Defense+0.52 Net+1.20
- Neemias Queta Offense+0.06 Defense+1.02 Net+1.07
- Payton Pritchard Offense+1.63 Defense-0.60 Net+1.02
- Paul George Offense+0.49 Defense+0.53 Net+1.02
- Luka Garza Offense+0.60 Defense-0.01 Net+0.60
- Mitchell Robinson Offense-0.05 Defense+0.50 Net+0.45
- Sam Hauser Offense+0.26 Defense-0.07 Net+0.19
- Jordan Walsh Offense-0.09 Defense+0.10 Net+0.01
- Hugo González Offense-0.32 Defense+0.27 Net-0.05
- Baylor Scheierman Offense-0.12 Defense+0.05 Net-0.07
- Devin Carter Offense-0.03 Defense-0.09 Net-0.12
Players
| Player | Pos |
|---|
| Player | Pos | DPM | Off | Def | Fair Salary | Box | On/Off | MPG | Pace | Pts/100 | Ast/100 | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | Pos | |||||||||||||
| Amari Williams | F-C | -2.1 | -2.8 | +0.8 | -$0.3M | -2.0 | -2.8 | 0.9 | 97.6 | 15.4 | 3.5 | 56.3% | 22.9% | 69.0% |
| Baylor Scheierman | G | -0.2 | -0.3 | +0.1 | $10.3M | -0.2 | -0.1 | 18.6 | 96.5 | 17.1 | 4.6 | 42.0% | 37.7% | 83.5% |
| Chris Cenac Jr. | F | -2.2 | -2.1 | -0.1 | -$0.5M | -2.2 | -2.9 | 2.0 | 97.9 | 21.0 | 2.1 | 45.5% | 31.0% | 63.3% |
| Derrick White | G | +1.9 | +1.1 | +0.8 | $37.0M | -0.1 | +2.4 | 30.4 | 95.2 | 22.4 | 7.3 | 42.1% | 36.2% | 87.2% |
| Devin Carter | G | -0.4 | -0.1 | -0.3 | $8.0M | -0.6 | +0.1 | 14.4 | 97.5 | 24.1 | 7.0 | 42.2% | 32.6% | 72.0% |
| Dillon Mitchell | F | -2.5 | -1.9 | -0.5 | -$0.5M | -2.5 | -1.9 | 0.0 | 96.9 | 17.4 | 4.8 | 47.9% | 31.2% | 70.1% |
| Hugo González | G | -0.2 | -1.4 | +1.2 | $7.4M | -0.3 | +0.1 | 11.2 | 97.3 | 17.4 | 3.1 | 45.0% | 33.4% | 67.2% |
| Jayson Tatum | F | +5.0 | +4.9 | +0.1 | $68.8M | +4.3 | +5.1 | 33.2 | 96.3 | 36.9 | 9.8 | 44.2% | 35.7% | 83.1% |
| Jordan Walsh | G | +0.1 | -0.4 | +0.5 | $10.6M | +0.3 | -0.4 | 9.7 | 95.4 | 16.6 | 2.9 | 43.1% | 34.6% | 72.3% |
| Luka Garza | C | +2.3 | +2.4 | -0.0 | $11.2M | +3.1 | +0.8 | 12.4 | 95.7 | 28.5 | 3.2 | 50.0% | 36.5% | 76.2% |
| Mike Conley | G | -1.4 | -2.0 | +0.6 | $1.0M | -1.0 | -1.5 | 2.7 | 97.9 | 14.1 | 7.8 | 39.3% | 37.6% | 84.1% |
| Mitchell Robinson | C | +1.6 | -0.2 | +1.8 | $24.8M | +1.7 | +1.4 | 13.4 | 95.1 | 17.4 | 2.2 | 66.2% | 15.5% | 45.2% |
| Neemias Queta | C | +2.3 | +0.1 | +2.2 | $26.5M | +1.9 | +2.7 | 22.8 | 96.4 | 22.1 | 3.1 | 62.7% | 26.5% | 70.3% |
| Paul George | F | +1.7 | +0.8 | +0.9 | $33.1M | +2.3 | +1.7 | 29.2 | 96.0 | 27.8 | 7.1 | 43.3% | 38.2% | 82.8% |
| Payton Pritchard | G | +1.9 | +3.0 | -1.1 | $30.1M | +3.1 | +1.4 | 26.7 | 95.5 | 26.7 | 8.1 | 44.7% | 37.6% | 86.7% |
| Ron Harper Jr. | F | -0.1 | -0.4 | +0.2 | $3.0M | -0.0 | -1.1 | 1.7 | 97.3 | 20.1 | 3.4 | 41.2% | 34.6% | 79.0% |
| Sam Hauser | F | +0.6 | +0.8 | -0.2 | $15.7M | -0.4 | +0.9 | 16.2 | 96.5 | 19.6 | 2.7 | 43.0% | 39.0% | 86.1% |
Core outlook
The rotation by projected minutes: age, rating and how long DARKO expects each player to last.
| Player | Age | DPM | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayson Tatum | 28 | +5.0 | 8.9 | 99% |
| Derrick White | 32 | +1.9 | 5.4 | 88% |
| Paul George | 36 | +1.7 | 2.6 | 44% |
| Payton Pritchard | 28 | +1.9 | 6.5 | 97% |
| Neemias Queta | 27 | +2.3 | 6.0 | 93% |
| Baylor Scheierman | 26 | -0.2 | 6.2 | 90% |
| Sam Hauser | 28 | +0.6 | 5.1 | 86% |
| Devin Carter | 24 | -0.4 | 3.2 | 44% |
| Mitchell Robinson | 28 | +1.6 | 6.1 | 93% |
Payroll against DARKO value
$209.0M of salary for $287.4M of DARKO fair value. The 12 best-paid players:
- Jayson Tatum : salary $58.5M, DARKO value $68.8M, surplus +$10.4M
- Paul George : salary $54.1M, DARKO value $33.1M, surplus -$21.0M
- Derrick White : salary $30.3M, DARKO value $37.0M, surplus +$6.7M
- Mitchell Robinson : salary $15.0M, DARKO value $24.8M, surplus +$9.7M
- Sam Hauser : salary $10.8M, DARKO value $15.7M, surplus +$4.8M
- Payton Pritchard : salary $7.8M, DARKO value $30.1M, surplus +$22.3M
- Devin Carter : salary $7.6M, DARKO value $8.0M, surplus +$0.4M
- Ron Harper Jr. : salary $3.2M, DARKO value $3.0M, surplus -$0.2M
- Chris Cenac Jr. : salary $3.0M, DARKO value -$0.5M, surplus -$3.5M
- Hugo González : salary $2.9M, DARKO value $7.4M, surplus +$4.5M
- Luka Garza : salary $2.8M, DARKO value $11.2M, surplus +$8.4M
- Baylor Scheierman : salary $2.7M, DARKO value $10.3M, surplus +$7.5M