Rob Dillingham
Age 21 · 6'3" · 175 lb
Pick #8, 2024 Draft · Rookie 2025 · 114 games · 3 playoff games
DPM · #512 of 530
-3.1Game by game
Seismograph
DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.
- Season change
- -0.51
- -2.57 before the first game, -3.08 before the last game
- Biggest boost
- +0.54
- Dec 19 vs OKC · 12 min
- Biggest drop
- -0.47
- Jan 13 vs MIL · 8 min
- Typical change per game
- 0.13
- Last 20 games, vs 0.15 in the first 20. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.
Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
-3.1 at age 21 in 2025-26 ranks 541st of 571 age-21 seasons since 1996-97. Closest match: Lance Stephenson, 2011-12.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lance Stephenson 2011-12 | 21 | -3.0 | +0.7, +0.6, -2.9, -1.6, -1.6 | 90 |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker 2019-20 | 21 | -2.8 | -1.0, -1.6, -1.3, +0.6, +0.4 | 90 |
| Tyler Ennis 2014-15 | 20 | -2.8 | -2.5, -1.6, -1.1, under 10 games, under 10 games | 88 |
| Jamal Crawford 2000-01 | 21 | -2.6 | -1.9, 0.0, -0.9, -1.5, -1.1 | 88 |
| Jacob Evans 2018-19 | 21 | -2.6 | -3.2, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 87 |
| Marquis Teague 2013-14 | 21 | -2.7 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 87 |
| Dennis Schroder 2013-14 | 20 | -2.9 | -1.3, +0.8, -0.5, -0.5, -0.8 | 87 |
| Cole Anthony 2020-21 | 21 | -3.1 | -1.7, -0.5, -0.8, +0.3, -1.9 | 86 |
| Jordan Poole 2019-20 | 20 | -2.6 | -0.6, +0.8, -0.8, -2.2, -1.2 | 86 |
| Kobi Simmons 2017-18 | 20 | -3.5 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 86 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Rob's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Rob Dillingham's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- -$8.8M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $6.6M
- Actual
- Surplus
- -$15.4M
- Value minus salary
- Seasons left
- 0.0
- Projected
- Retires at
- 21.6
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | CHI | 21 | 65 | 14.9 | -3.08 | -2.43 | -0.65 | 541st of 571 |
| 2024-25 | MIN | 20 | 49 +3 | 10.5 | -2.65 | -1.78 | -0.86 | 295th of 354 |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 9.3 projected minutes and a pace of 96.7.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 20.6 | 3.9 |
| Rebounds | 6.2 | 1.2 |
| Offensive | 0.9 | 0.2 |
| Defensive | 5.2 | 1.0 |
| Assists | 5.4 | 1.0 |
| Steals | 2.0 | 0.4 |
| Blocks | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| Turnovers | 3.7 | 0.7 |
| 3-pt attempts | 8.0 | 1.5 |
| FG attempts | 19.0 | 3.5 |
| FT attempts | 3.5 | 0.7 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 40.4% · 31.2% · 74.3% | |