Patrick Baldwin Jr.

Sacramento Kings · F

Age 23 · 6'9" · 220 lb

Pick #28, 2022 Draft · Rookie 2023 · 102 games · 3 playoff games

DPM · #408 of 530

-1.8
Offense -1.9 Defense +0.1 Last played Mar 24, 2026

Game by game

Seismograph

DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.

Season change
-1.13
-0.66 before the first game, -1.80 at the end
Biggest boost
+0.46
Mar 1 vs LAL · 11 min
Biggest drop
-0.62
Feb 26 vs DAL · 6 min
Typical change per game
0.29
Average size of a game's change this season. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.

Historical comps

Comps & futures

The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.

CompAgeDPM thenNext 5 seasonsMatch
Wenyen Gabriel 2020-2124-2.1 -2.1, -1.3, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games 91
Mfiondu Kabengele 2020-2123-1.7 under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games 89
Markieff Morris 2012-1323-1.4 -0.3, +0.1, +0.1, +0.8, +0.5 87
Jerami Grant 2016-1723-1.8 -1.0, +0.5, -0.9, -0.6, -0.8 87
Bostjan Nachbar 2003-0423-1.5 -1.6, -1.8, -0.1, -1.6, under 10 games 86
Omri Casspi 2011-1223-1.9 -1.1, -0.3, -1.1, +0.1, -0.9 85
Stanley Johnson 2018-1922-2.3 -1.3, -1.9, -0.8, -0.9, under 10 games 85
Rob Kurz 2008-0924-1.8 under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games 85
Austin Daye 2011-1223-2.6 -1.9, -1.8, -2.4, under 10 games, under 10 games 85
Harry Giles III 2020-2123-1.6 under 10 games, under 10 games, -1.6, under 10 games, under 10 games 85

The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Patrick's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.

Value

Contract & longevity

DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Patrick Baldwin Jr.'s salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.

Fair value
$0.5M
DARKO's market estimate
Salary
$0.3M
Actual
Surplus
+$0.3M
Value minus salary
Seasons left
0.0
Projected
Retires at
23.7
Projected age

Career

Season by season

DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.

Patrick Baldwin Jr., season by season
SeasonTeamAgeGamesMPGDPMOffDefFor his age
2025-26SAC23911.4-1.80-1.89+0.09—
2024-25LAC22244.4-0.35-1.04+0.68266th of 813
2023-24WAS213813.0-1.14-2.02+0.89266th of 571
2022-23GSW2031 +37.3-2.57-1.49-1.08290th of 354

Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.

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Projections

Projected box score

DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 2.2 projected minutes and a pace of 94.3.

Patrick Baldwin Jr., projected box score
StatPer 100Per game
Points17.50.8
Rebounds11.20.5
Offensive3.70.2
Defensive7.50.3
Assists2.50.1
Steals1.50.1
Blocks1.90.1
Turnovers2.40.1
3-pt attempts8.10.4
FG attempts13.80.6
FT attempts3.70.2
FG% · 3P% · FT%41.5% · 31.4% · 69.9%