Game by game
Seismograph
DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.
- Season change
- -1.13
- -0.66 before the first game, -1.80 at the end
- Biggest boost
- +0.46
- Mar 1 vs LAL · 11 min
- Biggest drop
- -0.62
- Feb 26 vs DAL · 6 min
- Typical change per game
- 0.29
- Average size of a game's change this season. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.
Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wenyen Gabriel 2020-21 | 24 | -2.1 | -2.1, -1.3, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 91 |
| Mfiondu Kabengele 2020-21 | 23 | -1.7 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 89 |
| Markieff Morris 2012-13 | 23 | -1.4 | -0.3, +0.1, +0.1, +0.8, +0.5 | 87 |
| Jerami Grant 2016-17 | 23 | -1.8 | -1.0, +0.5, -0.9, -0.6, -0.8 | 87 |
| Bostjan Nachbar 2003-04 | 23 | -1.5 | -1.6, -1.8, -0.1, -1.6, under 10 games | 86 |
| Omri Casspi 2011-12 | 23 | -1.9 | -1.1, -0.3, -1.1, +0.1, -0.9 | 85 |
| Stanley Johnson 2018-19 | 22 | -2.3 | -1.3, -1.9, -0.8, -0.9, under 10 games | 85 |
| Rob Kurz 2008-09 | 24 | -1.8 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 85 |
| Austin Daye 2011-12 | 23 | -2.6 | -1.9, -1.8, -2.4, under 10 games, under 10 games | 85 |
| Harry Giles III 2020-21 | 23 | -1.6 | under 10 games, under 10 games, -1.6, under 10 games, under 10 games | 85 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Patrick's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Patrick Baldwin Jr.'s salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $0.5M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $0.3M
- Actual
- Surplus
- +$0.3M
- Value minus salary
- Seasons left
- 0.0
- Projected
- Retires at
- 23.7
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | SAC | 23 | 9 | 11.4 | -1.80 | -1.89 | +0.09 | — |
| 2024-25 | LAC | 22 | 24 | 4.4 | -0.35 | -1.04 | +0.68 | 266th of 813 |
| 2023-24 | WAS | 21 | 38 | 13.0 | -1.14 | -2.02 | +0.89 | 266th of 571 |
| 2022-23 | GSW | 20 | 31 +3 | 7.3 | -2.57 | -1.49 | -1.08 | 290th of 354 |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 2.2 projected minutes and a pace of 94.3.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 17.5 | 0.8 |
| Rebounds | 11.2 | 0.5 |
| Offensive | 3.7 | 0.2 |
| Defensive | 7.5 | 0.3 |
| Assists | 2.5 | 0.1 |
| Steals | 1.5 | 0.1 |
| Blocks | 1.9 | 0.1 |
| Turnovers | 2.4 | 0.1 |
| 3-pt attempts | 8.1 | 0.4 |
| FG attempts | 13.8 | 0.6 |
| FT attempts | 3.7 | 0.2 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 41.5% · 31.4% · 69.9% | |
