Game by game
Seismograph
DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.
- Season change
- -0.24
- -1.39 before the first game, -1.63 before the last game
- Biggest boost
- +0.41
- Mar 9 vs MEM · 23 min
- Biggest drop
- -0.54
- Feb 9 vs CHI · 20 min
- Typical change per game
- 0.20
- Last 20 games, vs 0.15 in the first 20. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.
Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
-1.6 at age 25 in 2025-26 ranks 789th of 1,078 age-25 seasons since 1996-97. Closest match: Bostjan Nachbar, 2005-06.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bostjan Nachbar 2005-06 | 25 | -1.8 | -0.1, -1.6, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 93 |
| Jake Layman 2018-19 | 25 | -1.4 | -1.0, -0.4, -0.3, under 10 games, under 10 games | 91 |
| Damyean Dotson 2019-20 | 25 | -1.6 | -2.8, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 91 |
| Kyle Kuzma 2020-21 | 25 | -1.3 | -2.2, -0.8, -2.0, -3.1, -3.3 | 89 |
| Travis Outlaw 2009-10 | 25 | -1.5 | -2.3, -2.0, -1.0, -1.8, under 10 games | 89 |
| Marko Guduric 2019-20 | 25 | -1.5 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 89 |
| Brandon Rush 2009-10 | 24 | -1.3 | -1.8, 0.0, under 10 games, -1.2, -3.7 | 89 |
| Edmond Sumner 2020-21 | 25 | -1.2 | under 10 games, -1.2, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 88 |
| Alec Burks 2016-17 | 25 | -1.6 | -1.8, -2.0, -0.9, +0.7, +1.0 | 88 |
| Lamar Patterson 2015-16 | 24 | -1.8 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 88 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Jalen's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Jalen Wilson's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $3.1M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $2.2M
- Actual
- Surplus
- +$0.9M
- Value minus salary
- Seasons left
- 0.0
- Projected
- Retires at
- 25.7
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | BKN | 25 | 54 | 15.9 | -1.63 | -1.35 | -0.28 | 789th of 1078 |
| 2024-25 | BKN | 24 | 79 | 25.7 | -1.74 | -0.96 | -0.78 | 865th of 1185 |
| 2023-24 | BKN | 23 | 43 | 15.4 | -1.87 | -1.19 | -0.67 | 794th of 1100 |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 5.9 projected minutes and a pace of 94.3.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 19.0 | 2.2 |
| Rebounds | 7.7 | 0.9 |
| Offensive | 1.5 | 0.2 |
| Defensive | 6.2 | 0.7 |
| Assists | 3.4 | 0.4 |
| Steals | 1.1 | 0.1 |
| Blocks | 0.3 | 0.0 |
| Turnovers | 2.7 | 0.3 |
| 3-pt attempts | 7.5 | 0.9 |
| FG attempts | 16.0 | 1.9 |
| FT attempts | 6.0 | 0.7 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 40.2% · 32.8% · 73.9% | |
