Game by game
Seismograph
DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.
- Season change
- +0.40
- -2.18 before the first game, -1.77 before the last game
- Biggest boost
- +0.94
- Dec 23 vs PHX · 14 min
- Biggest drop
- -0.64
- Apr 9 vs GSW · 7 min
- Typical change per game
- 0.23
- Last 15 games, vs 0.28 in the first 15. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.
Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
-1.8 at age 22 in 2025-26 ranks 567th of 813 age-22 seasons since 1996-97. Closest match: Brandon Davies, 2013-14.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Davies 2013-14 | 22 | -1.7 | -2.1, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 92 |
| Jared Jeffries 2003-04 | 22 | -1.7 | +0.7, +0.9, +0.4, +0.9, +1.5 | 91 |
| Jimmy Butler 2011-12 | 22 | -1.7 | +2.2, +2.3, +3.1, +2.5, +3.4 | 91 |
| D.J. Wilson 2017-18 | 22 | -2.0 | -2.7, -2.7, -2.7, under 10 games, under 10 games | 90 |
| Drew Eubanks 2018-19 | 22 | -1.7 | -1.2, -1.5, -1.6, -1.0, -2.1 | 89 |
| Shavlik Randolph 2005-06 | 22 | -1.7 | -1.3, under 10 games, -1.3, under 10 games, under 10 games | 89 |
| Bruno Fernando 2019-20 | 21 | -1.3 | -2.4, -2.1, -1.7, -1.3, -0.9 | 89 |
| Luka Samanic 2020-21 | 21 | -1.7 | under 10 games, under 10 games, -2.3, under 10 games, under 10 games | 89 |
| Joe Alexander 2008-09 | 22 | -1.7 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 88 |
| Jarell Martin 2015-16 | 21 | -1.4 | -2.0, -2.1, -0.5, under 10 games, under 10 games | 88 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Adou's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Adou Thiero's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $0.2M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $1.3M
- Actual
- Surplus
- -$1.0M
- Value minus salary
- Seasons left
- 3.6
- Projected
- Retires at
- 25.6
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | LAL | 22 | 25 +6 | 6.0 | -1.77 | -1.83 | +0.05 | 567th of 813 |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 5.0 projected minutes and a pace of 96.5.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 15.3 | 1.5 |
| Rebounds | 11.5 | 1.2 |
| Offensive | 4.1 | 0.4 |
| Defensive | 7.4 | 0.7 |
| Assists | 2.6 | 0.3 |
| Steals | 1.4 | 0.1 |
| Blocks | 0.9 | 0.1 |
| Turnovers | 3.1 | 0.3 |
| 3-pt attempts | 2.8 | 0.3 |
| FG attempts | 11.3 | 1.1 |
| FT attempts | 5.9 | 0.6 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 49.4% · 27.4% · 63.8% | |
