Tyler Smith

Dallas Mavericks · F

Age 21 · 6'9" · 224 lb

Pick #33, 2024 Draft · Rookie 2025 · 36 games

DPM · #515 of 530

-3.2
Offense -1.9 Defense -1.2 Last played Apr 12, 2026

Game by game

Seismograph

DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.

Season change
-1.52
-1.65 before the first game, -3.17 before the last game
Biggest boost
+0.10
Apr 7 vs LAC · 18 min
Biggest drop
-1.11
Mar 13 vs CLE · 6 min
Typical change per game
0.10
Last 5 games, vs 0.31 in the first 5. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.

Historical comps

Comps & futures

The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.

CompAgeDPM thenNext 5 seasonsMatch
Mario Hezonja 2016-1722-2.7 -0.7, -1.0, -2.4, under 10 games, under 10 games 87
Trey Lyles 2016-1721-2.7 -0.6, -1.4, -1.3, -2.3, -1.0 87
Deividas Sirvydis 2020-2120-2.8 under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games 85
Rashad Vaughn 2017-1821-2.7 under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games 84
Marquese Chriss 2018-1921-3.0 -1.2, under 10 games, -1.7, under 10 games, under 10 games 83
Aaron Nesmith 2020-2121-2.3 -1.2, -1.3, -0.1, +1.1, -0.1 83
TJ Leaf 2017-1820-2.7 -2.0, -1.8, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games 83
Anfernee Simons 2019-2021-3.2 -1.3, -1.0, -1.1, -0.8, -1.3 83
Shawne Williams 2006-0721-2.8 -0.7, -1.6, under 10 games, -0.7, -1.0 82
Glenn Robinson III 2014-1521-2.6 -1.7, -0.6, -0.6, -1.5, -0.7 82

The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Tyler's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.

Value

Contract & longevity

DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Tyler Smith's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.

Fair value
-$5.3M
DARKO's market estimate
Salary
$2.0M
Actual
Surplus
-$7.3M
Value minus salary
Seasons left
0.0
Projected
Retires at
21.7
Projected age

Career

Season by season

DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.

Tyler Smith, season by season
SeasonTeamAgeGamesMPGDPMOffDefFor his age
2025-26DAL211213.8-3.17-1.92-1.25—
2024-25MIL20245.1-1.04-0.81-0.23132nd of 354

Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.

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Projections

Projected box score

DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 0.1 projected minutes and a pace of 95.8.

Tyler Smith, projected box score
StatPer 100Per game
Points16.40.0
Rebounds10.00.0
Offensive3.40.0
Defensive6.50.0
Assists1.80.0
Steals1.40.0
Blocks0.70.0
Turnovers1.90.0
3-pt attempts9.80.0
FG attempts13.60.0
FT attempts2.60.0
FG% · 3P% · FT%42.5% · 32.0% · 71.8%