Game by game
Seismograph
DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.
- Season change
- -1.52
- -1.65 before the first game, -3.17 before the last game
- Biggest boost
- +0.10
- Apr 7 vs LAC · 18 min
- Biggest drop
- -1.11
- Mar 13 vs CLE · 6 min
- Typical change per game
- 0.10
- Last 5 games, vs 0.31 in the first 5. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.
Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mario Hezonja 2016-17 | 22 | -2.7 | -0.7, -1.0, -2.4, under 10 games, under 10 games | 87 |
| Trey Lyles 2016-17 | 21 | -2.7 | -0.6, -1.4, -1.3, -2.3, -1.0 | 87 |
| Deividas Sirvydis 2020-21 | 20 | -2.8 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 85 |
| Rashad Vaughn 2017-18 | 21 | -2.7 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 84 |
| Marquese Chriss 2018-19 | 21 | -3.0 | -1.2, under 10 games, -1.7, under 10 games, under 10 games | 83 |
| Aaron Nesmith 2020-21 | 21 | -2.3 | -1.2, -1.3, -0.1, +1.1, -0.1 | 83 |
| TJ Leaf 2017-18 | 20 | -2.7 | -2.0, -1.8, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 83 |
| Anfernee Simons 2019-20 | 21 | -3.2 | -1.3, -1.0, -1.1, -0.8, -1.3 | 83 |
| Shawne Williams 2006-07 | 21 | -2.8 | -0.7, -1.6, under 10 games, -0.7, -1.0 | 82 |
| Glenn Robinson III 2014-15 | 21 | -2.6 | -1.7, -0.6, -0.6, -1.5, -0.7 | 82 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Tyler's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Tyler Smith's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- -$5.3M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $2.0M
- Actual
- Surplus
- -$7.3M
- Value minus salary
- Seasons left
- 0.0
- Projected
- Retires at
- 21.7
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | DAL | 21 | 12 | 13.8 | -3.17 | -1.92 | -1.25 | — |
| 2024-25 | MIL | 20 | 24 | 5.1 | -1.04 | -0.81 | -0.23 | 132nd of 354 |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 0.1 projected minutes and a pace of 95.8.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 16.4 | 0.0 |
| Rebounds | 10.0 | 0.0 |
| Offensive | 3.4 | 0.0 |
| Defensive | 6.5 | 0.0 |
| Assists | 1.8 | 0.0 |
| Steals | 1.4 | 0.0 |
| Blocks | 0.7 | 0.0 |
| Turnovers | 1.9 | 0.0 |
| 3-pt attempts | 9.8 | 0.0 |
| FG attempts | 13.6 | 0.0 |
| FT attempts | 2.6 | 0.0 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 42.5% · 32.0% · 71.8% | |
