JD Davison
Age 23 · 6'3" · 195 lb
Pick #53, 2022 Draft · Rookie 2023 · 64 games · 6 playoff games
DPM · #219 of 530
-0.4Game by game
Seismograph
DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.
- Season change
- +1.78
- -2.15 before the first game, -0.37 before the last game
- Biggest boost
- +1.25
- Nov 1 vs BOS · 8 min
- Biggest drop
- -0.82
- Dec 5 vs PHX · 7 min
- Typical change per game
- 0.28
- Last 14 games, vs 0.44 in the first 14. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.
Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
-0.4 at age 23 in 2025-26 ranks 379th of 1,100 age-23 seasons since 1996-97. Closest match: Thabo Sefolosha, 2007-08.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thabo Sefolosha 2007-08 | 23 | -0.2 | +0.5, +0.4, +0.3, +1.3, +1.9 | 86 |
| Marcus Banks 2004-05 | 23 | -0.1 | -1.0, -2.5, -1.4, -1.6, -0.8 | 86 |
| Josh Richardson 2016-17 | 23 | -0.4 | +1.1, +0.8, -0.2, -1.4, -0.2 | 85 |
| DeAndre' Bembry 2017-18 | 23 | -1.0 | -1.1, -1.0, -0.7, -0.4, under 10 games | 84 |
| Frank Ntilikina 2020-21 | 22 | -0.2 | -0.5, -0.9, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 84 |
| Rodions Kurucs 2020-21 | 23 | -0.4 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 84 |
| Daniel Ewing 2006-07 | 24 | -0.9 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 84 |
| Justise Winslow 2018-19 | 23 | +0.4 | -0.5, -2.4, 0.0, -0.3, under 10 games | 84 |
| Ronnie Price 2006-07 | 23 | -1.0 | -0.2, -1.2, -1.5, -1.5, -1.1 | 83 |
| Alex Caruso 2017-18 | 24 | -0.7 | -1.3, +0.9, +0.4, +0.7, +1.2 | 83 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to JD's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against JD Davison's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $2.3M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $2.3M
- Actual
- Surplus
- +$0.0M
- Value minus salary
- Seasons left
- 0.0
- Projected
- Retires at
- 23.8
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | HOU | 23 | 28 +2 | 7.8 | -0.37 | -1.29 | +0.92 | 379th of 1100 |
| 2024-25 | BOS | 22 | 16 +4 | 5.8 | -1.68 | -1.45 | -0.22 | — |
| 2023-24 | BOS | 21 | 8 | 4.9 | +0.24 | -0.18 | +0.42 | — |
| 2022-23 | BOS | 20 | 12 | 5.5 | -1.93 | -1.66 | -0.27 | — |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections. It projects no minutes for JD Davison right now, so there is no per-game line.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 16.3 | — |
| Rebounds | 8.6 | — |
| Offensive | 1.5 | — |
| Defensive | 7.1 | — |
| Assists | 6.1 | — |
| Steals | 1.6 | — |
| Blocks | 1.2 | — |
| Turnovers | 2.8 | — |
| 3-pt attempts | 6.5 | — |
| FG attempts | 14.3 | — |
| FT attempts | 4.4 | — |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 38.9% · 31.1% · 72.1% | |