Alex Antetokounmpo
Age 24 · 6'8" · 214 lb
Rookie 2026 · 6 games
DPM · #325 of 530
-1.2Game by game
Seismograph
DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.
- Season change
- +1.21
- -2.42 before the first game, -1.21 before the last game
- Biggest boost
- +0.54
- Apr 8 vs DET · 4 min
- Biggest drop
- -0.38
- Apr 3 vs BOS · 4 min
- Typical change per game
- 0.33
- Average size of a game's change this season. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.
Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donny Marshall 1996-97 | 24 | -1.3 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, -2.2 | 89 |
| Nicolas Brussino 2016-17 | 24 | -1.5 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 89 |
| Dylan Windler 2020-21 | 24 | -0.9 | -0.9, under 10 games, -1.6, under 10 games, under 10 games | 89 |
| Sheldon Mac 2016-17 | 24 | -1.4 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 89 |
| Francisco Garcia 2005-06 | 24 | -1.2 | -0.4, +0.8, -0.5, -0.8, -0.1 | 89 |
| Moritz Wagner 2020-21 | 24 | -1.0 | -1.0, -0.3, +0.3, +0.5, -1.6 | 88 |
| Jamal Mashburn 1996-97 | 24 | -1.0 | -0.6, -0.4, +0.7, +0.9, +0.8 | 88 |
| Jeffery Taylor 2012-13 | 23 | -1.6 | -3.2, -3.2, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 88 |
| Jarrell Brantley 2020-21 | 25 | -0.9 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 87 |
| Vlatko Cancar 2020-21 | 24 | -1.7 | -1.4, -1.8, under 10 games, -2.7, under 10 games | 87 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Alex's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Alex Antetokounmpo's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $1.2M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $1.4M
- Actual
- Surplus
- -$0.1M
- Value minus salary
- Seasons left
- 1.7
- Projected
- Retires at
- 26.3
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | MIL | 24 | 6 | 3.4 | -1.21 | -0.91 | -0.30 | — |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 22.2 projected minutes and a pace of 99.8.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 19.5 | 9.0 |
| Rebounds | 9.8 | 4.5 |
| Offensive | 3.0 | 1.4 |
| Defensive | 6.8 | 3.1 |
| Assists | 3.2 | 1.5 |
| Steals | 1.3 | 0.6 |
| Blocks | 1.5 | 0.7 |
| Turnovers | 2.2 | 1.0 |
| 3-pt attempts | 8.7 | 4.0 |
| FG attempts | 15.4 | 7.1 |
| FT attempts | 7.3 | 3.4 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 40.5% · 30.3% · 67.5% | |