Game by game
Seismograph
DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.
- Season change
- 0.00
- -2.57 before the first game, -2.57 before the last game
Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Armoni Brooks 2020-21 | 22 | -2.2 | -1.9, under 10 games, -1.6, under 10 games, under 10 games | 75 |
| Marcus Brown 1996-97 | 22 | -1.9 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 75 |
| Matt Freije 2004-05 | 23 | -2.9 | under 10 games, -3.3, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 74 |
| Erick Strickland 1996-97 | 23 | -1.9 | -2.9, -0.9, +0.5, +0.8, -1.2 | 74 |
| Lorenzo Brown 2013-14 | 23 | -2.4 | -1.4, under 10 games, under 10 games, -1.2, -2.7 | 73 |
| Jannero Pargo 2002-03 | 23 | -2.2 | -2.3, -2.4, -2.1, -0.9, -0.9 | 73 |
| Chris Robinson 1996-97 | 23 | -1.9 | -2.2, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 73 |
| Eddie Gill 2001-02 | 23 | -2.2 | under 10 games, -1.0, -0.2, 0.0, under 10 games | 73 |
| Damon Jones 1998-99 | 22 | -1.4 | -2.0, -1.6, -0.4, -1.7, -1.1 | 73 |
| Laron Profit 1999-00 | 22 | -2.1 | -0.3, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, -0.8 | 72 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Hayden's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Hayden Gray's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $3.5M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $1.4M
- Actual
- Surplus
- +$2.1M
- Value minus salary
- Seasons left
- 1.2
- Projected
- Retires at
- 24.1
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | UTA | 22 | 1 | 24.8 | -2.57 | -2.10 | -0.47 | — |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 4.4 projected minutes and a pace of 95.6.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 17.5 | 1.5 |
| Rebounds | 5.6 | 0.5 |
| Offensive | 1.6 | 0.1 |
| Defensive | 4.0 | 0.4 |
| Assists | 5.6 | 0.5 |
| Steals | 2.0 | 0.2 |
| Blocks | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Turnovers | 3.0 | 0.3 |
| 3-pt attempts | 8.1 | 0.7 |
| FG attempts | 15.6 | 1.4 |
| FT attempts | 2.6 | 0.2 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 40.8% · 30.6% · 72.2% | |
