Game by game
Seismograph
DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.
- Season change
- +1.08
- -2.53 before the first game, -1.45 before the last game
- Biggest boost
- +0.39
- Mar 15 vs MIL · 13 min
- Biggest drop
- -0.45
- Nov 5 vs BKN · 16 min
- Typical change per game
- 0.17
- Last 18 games, vs 0.14 in the first 18. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.
Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
-1.4 at age 24 in 2025-26 ranks 756th of 1,185 age-24 seasons since 1996-97. Closest match: Denzel Valentine, 2016-17.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denzel Valentine 2016-17 | 23 | -1.6 | -1.1, under 10 games, -1.4, -1.7, -2.1 | 91 |
| Treveon Graham 2016-17 | 23 | -1.4 | -2.2, -1.5, -2.2, under 10 games, under 10 games | 91 |
| Donny Marshall 1996-97 | 24 | -1.3 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, -2.2 | 90 |
| Nicolas Brussino 2016-17 | 24 | -1.5 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 89 |
| Lamar Patterson 2015-16 | 24 | -1.8 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 89 |
| Chris Johnson 2013-14 | 23 | -1.2 | -0.6, 0.0, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 89 |
| Kim English 2012-13 | 24 | -1.7 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 89 |
| Alex Abrines 2016-17 | 23 | -1.7 | -1.4, -1.4, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 88 |
| DaQuan Jeffries 2020-21 | 23 | -1.7 | under 10 games, under 10 games, -1.8, -2.6, under 10 games | 88 |
| Dorian Finney-Smith 2016-17 | 23 | -1.3 | -1.0, -0.4, +0.3, +0.7, +1.3 | 88 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Taelon's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Taelon Peter's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $2.6M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $1.4M
- Actual
- Surplus
- +$1.2M
- Value minus salary
- Seasons left
- 1.7
- Projected
- Retires at
- 25.8
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | IND | 24 | 38 | 13.0 | -1.45 | -1.32 | -0.12 | 756th of 1185 |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 27.3 projected minutes and a pace of 98.7.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 16.6 | 9.3 |
| Rebounds | 5.1 | 2.9 |
| Offensive | 1.2 | 0.7 |
| Defensive | 3.9 | 2.2 |
| Assists | 3.5 | 1.9 |
| Steals | 2.2 | 1.2 |
| Blocks | 0.5 | 0.3 |
| Turnovers | 2.7 | 1.5 |
| 3-pt attempts | 10.1 | 5.7 |
| FG attempts | 14.5 | 8.1 |
| FT attempts | 3.0 | 1.7 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 39.8% · 34.3% · 74.1% | |
