Nick Smith Jr.
Age 22 · 6'5" · 185 lb
Pick #27, 2023 Draft · Rookie 2024 · 141 games · 6 playoff games
DPM · #473 of 530
-2.4Game by game
Seismograph
DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.
- Season change
- +1.66
- -4.07 before the first game, -2.40 at the end
- Biggest boost
- +0.62
- Apr 9 vs GSW · 11 min
- Biggest drop
- -0.45
- Apr 10 vs PHX · 13 min
- Typical change per game
- 0.15
- Last 18 games, vs 0.23 in the first 18. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.
Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
-2.4 at age 22 in 2025-26 ranks 697th of 813 age-22 seasons since 1996-97. Closest match: Lonnie Walker IV, 2020-21.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lonnie Walker IV 2020-21 | 22 | -2.5 | -2.2, -2.2, -1.3, -2.3, under 10 games | 85 |
| Tyler Dorsey 2017-18 | 22 | -2.9 | -2.1, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 84 |
| Malik Monk 2019-20 | 22 | -2.2 | -1.2, -0.2, -0.4, -1.1, -0.8 | 83 |
| Nik Stauskas 2015-16 | 22 | -2.2 | -1.9, -1.8, -3.1, under 10 games, under 10 games | 83 |
| Frank Jackson 2019-20 | 22 | -3.0 | -0.9, -1.5, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 83 |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. 2013-14 | 22 | -2.7 | -2.8, -0.9, -0.5, -0.4, -1.0 | 82 |
| Patty Mills 2010-11 | 22 | -2.8 | -0.7, -0.3, +2.4, +1.7, +1.6 | 82 |
| Jamal Crawford 2001-02 | 22 | -1.9 | 0.0, -0.9, -1.5, -1.1, -1.7 | 81 |
| Brandon Knight 2012-13 | 21 | -2.4 | -0.9, -1.5, -1.6, -3.4, under 10 games | 81 |
| Darius Morris 2012-13 | 22 | -2.6 | -3.2, -3.3, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 81 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Nick's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Nick Smith Jr.'s salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- -$0.6M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $2.7M
- Actual
- Surplus
- -$3.3M
- Value minus salary
- Seasons left
- 0.0
- Projected
- Retires at
- 22.3
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | LAL | 22 | 30 +6 | 12.5 | -2.40 | -0.63 | -1.77 | 697th of 813 |
| 2024-25 | CHA | 20 | 60 | 22.8 | -4.16 | -1.94 | -2.22 | 354th of 354 |
| 2023-24 | CHA | 19 | 51 | 14.3 | -3.65 | -2.62 | -1.02 | 105th of 109 |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 1.8 projected minutes and a pace of 94.1.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 21.7 | 0.8 |
| Rebounds | 4.4 | 0.2 |
| Offensive | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Defensive | 3.9 | 0.1 |
| Assists | 3.9 | 0.1 |
| Steals | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| Blocks | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Turnovers | 2.8 | 0.1 |
| 3-pt attempts | 12.2 | 0.4 |
| FG attempts | 19.9 | 0.7 |
| FT attempts | 3.4 | 0.1 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 38.6% · 33.2% · 80.8% | |