Game by game
Seismograph
DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.
- Season change
- +0.09
- -2.17 before the first game, -2.08 at the end
- Biggest boost
- +0.90
- Apr 10 vs ATL · 10 min
- Biggest drop
- -0.53
- Mar 27 vs MIA · 4 min
- Typical change per game
- 0.42
- Average size of a game's change this season. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.
Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roy Rogers 1999-00 | 26 | -2.0 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 86 |
| Mamadou N'diaye 2002-03 | 27 | -2.1 | -1.6, -2.0, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 85 |
| Tarik Black 2017-18 | 26 | -2.0 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 84 |
| Calvin Booth 2002-03 | 26 | -1.6 | -1.5, -1.9, -1.9, -1.3, -2.2 | 84 |
| Vincent Poirier 2019-20 | 26 | -2.9 | -3.7, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 83 |
| Loren Woods 2004-05 | 26 | -2.3 | -0.7, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 83 |
| Jerome Moiso 2004-05 | 26 | -2.0 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 83 |
| Mark Blount 2002-03 | 27 | -1.9 | +0.3, -1.2, -1.9, -2.2, -2.9 | 83 |
| Viacheslav Kravtsov 2013-14 | 26 | -1.5 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 83 |
| Jeff Adrien 2012-13 | 27 | -1.8 | -1.4, -1.2, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 83 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Olivier's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Olivier Sarr's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- -$0.5M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $1.4M
- Actual
- Surplus
- -$1.9M
- Value minus salary
- Seasons left
- 0.9
- Projected
- Retires at
- 28.0
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | CLE | 27 | 4 | 9.8 | -2.08 | -2.56 | +0.48 | — |
| 2023-24 | OKC | 25 | 15 | 6.5 | -2.22 | -2.23 | +0.02 | — |
| 2022-23 | OKC | 24 | 9 | 12.6 | -2.47 | -2.51 | +0.04 | — |
| 2021-22 | OKC | 23 | 22 | 19.1 | -2.62 | -2.43 | -0.19 | 979th of 1100 |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 14.5 projected minutes and a pace of 98.6.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 15.4 | 4.6 |
| Rebounds | 13.4 | 4.0 |
| Offensive | 4.5 | 1.3 |
| Defensive | 8.8 | 2.6 |
| Assists | 2.7 | 0.8 |
| Steals | 1.0 | 0.3 |
| Blocks | 3.6 | 1.1 |
| Turnovers | 2.8 | 0.8 |
| 3-pt attempts | 4.2 | 1.3 |
| FG attempts | 10.4 | 3.1 |
| FT attempts | 4.5 | 1.3 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 47.3% · 25.3% · 63.2% | |
