Ethan Thompson
Age 27 · 6'5" · 195 lb
Rookie 2025 · 32 games
DPM · #420 of 530
-1.9Game by game
Seismograph
DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.
- Season change
- +0.48
- -2.34 before the first game, -1.86 before the last game
- Biggest boost
- +1.51
- Dec 5 vs CHI · 34 min
- Biggest drop
- -0.63
- Dec 12 vs PHI · 33 min
- Typical change per game
- 0.26
- Last 15 games, vs 0.30 in the first 15. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.
Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
-1.9 at age 26 in 2025-26 ranks 835th of 1,010 age-26 seasons since 1996-97. Closest match: Roger Mason Jr., 2006-07.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roger Mason Jr. 2006-07 | 26 | -1.7 | -0.6, -0.5, -1.6, -2.6, -0.5 | 91 |
| Scott Burrell 1996-97 | 26 | -2.2 | +1.3, +0.1, +1.2, under 10 games, under 10 games | 91 |
| Mitchell Butler 1996-97 | 26 | -2.1 | -2.3, -1.5, under 10 games, under 10 games, -2.3 | 89 |
| Gigi Datome 2013-14 | 26 | -1.8 | -1.2, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 89 |
| Malcolm Miller 2019-20 | 27 | -2.2 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 88 |
| Andre Owens 2007-08 | 27 | -2.1 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 88 |
| Abdel Nader 2019-20 | 26 | -1.7 | -2.2, -2.7, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 88 |
| Torrey Craig 2017-18 | 27 | -2.1 | -0.2, -1.2, -1.5, -2.3, -2.1 | 88 |
| Jonathon Simmons 2015-16 | 26 | -2.0 | -1.7, -1.8, -2.9, under 10 games, under 10 games | 87 |
| Justin Holiday 2014-15 | 26 | -1.2 | -0.9, +0.5, 0.0, -0.6, +0.5 | 87 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to Ethan's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against Ethan Thompson's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $0.4M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $1.4M
- Actual
- Surplus
- -$1.0M
- Value minus salary
- Seasons left
- 0.0
- Projected
- Retires at
- 27.2
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | IND | 26 | 32 | 20.4 | -1.86 | -1.56 | -0.30 | 835th of 1010 |
| 2024-25 | ORL | 25 | 0 | — | -2.19 | -1.65 | -0.54 | — |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections, and per game at 15.1 projected minutes and a pace of 95.2.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 16.8 | 5.0 |
| Rebounds | 5.5 | 1.6 |
| Offensive | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Defensive | 4.2 | 1.3 |
| Assists | 3.8 | 1.1 |
| Steals | 1.5 | 0.4 |
| Blocks | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| Turnovers | 2.3 | 0.7 |
| 3-pt attempts | 8.8 | 2.6 |
| FG attempts | 14.7 | 4.4 |
| FT attempts | 3.9 | 1.2 |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 38.7% · 33.5% · 76.1% | |