AJ Lawson
Age 26 · 6'6" · 179 lb
Rookie 2023 · 107 games · 17 playoff games
DPM · #422 of 530
-1.9Game by game
Seismograph
DARKO updates every rating after every game. The lines show the rating going into each game; the bars show how much each game moved it, split into offense and defense.
- Season change
- 0.00
- -1.90 before the first game, -1.90 before the last game
- Biggest boost
- +0.51
- Mar 29 vs ORL · 19 min
- Biggest drop
- -0.69
- Dec 7 vs BOS · 13 min
- Typical change per game
- 0.14
- Last 15 games, vs 0.16 in the first 15. Smaller changes mean each game moves DARKO's view less.
Historical comps
Comps & futures
The ten most similar player-seasons since 1996-97 at the same age, and what happened to them next.
-1.9 at age 25 in 2025-26 ranks 870th of 1,078 age-25 seasons since 1996-97. Closest match: Bostjan Nachbar, 2005-06.
| Comp | Age | DPM then | Next 5 seasons | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bostjan Nachbar 2005-06 | 25 | -1.8 | -0.1, -1.6, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 91 |
| Damyean Dotson 2019-20 | 25 | -1.6 | -2.8, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 91 |
| Treveon Graham 2019-20 | 26 | -2.2 | under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 90 |
| James Anderson 2013-14 | 25 | -2.0 | under 10 games, -0.8, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 90 |
| Georges Niang 2018-19 | 25 | -2.2 | -1.2, -0.3, -1.1, -0.7, -1.1 | 89 |
| Austin Daye 2013-14 | 26 | -1.8 | -2.4, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 89 |
| Jake Layman 2018-19 | 25 | -1.4 | -1.0, -0.4, -0.3, under 10 games, under 10 games | 89 |
| Sterling Brown 2019-20 | 25 | -2.3 | -1.0, -1.0, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 89 |
| Juancho Hernangomez 2020-21 | 25 | -1.9 | -1.0, -1.3, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 89 |
| Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot 2020-21 | 26 | -1.5 | -1.8, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games, under 10 games | 89 |
The 25 player-seasons since 1996-97 closest to AJ's 2025-26 at the same age: DPM and its offense/defense split, the two seasons before, box-score profile, height, experience and age. Each comp counts once, at his closest season, weighted by the match. Hover or focus a comp to trace his next five seasons. A website presentation, not a DARKO model output.
Value
Contract & longevity
DARKO's fair salary from projected wins against AJ Lawson's salary, and the odds of still being on an NBA roster in each coming season.
- Fair value
- $0.2M
- DARKO's market estimate
- Salary
- $1.4M
- Actual
- Surplus
- -$1.1M
- Value minus salary
- Seasons left
- 0.0
- Projected
- Retires at
- 26.0
- Projected age
Career
Season by season
DPM going into each season's last game, since 1996-97.
| Season | Team | Age | Games | MPG | DPM | Off | Def | For his age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | TOR | 25 | 24 +7 | 9.4 | -1.90 | -1.33 | -0.56 | 870th of 1078 |
| 2024-25 | TOR | 24 | 26 | 18.7 | -1.72 | -0.72 | -1.00 | 859th of 1185 |
| 2023-24 | DAL | 23 | 42 +10 | 7.4 | -2.28 | -1.35 | -0.92 | 899th of 1100 |
| 2022-23 | DAL | 22 | 15 | 7.2 | -1.62 | -0.97 | -0.66 | — |
Games are regular season; +n are playoff games. "For his age" ranks the season's DPM among every season at the same age since 1996-97 with 20 or more games. A season's DPM opens the leaderboard on its last game day.
Projections
Projected box score
DARKO's per-100 projections. It projects no minutes for AJ Lawson right now, so there is no per-game line.
| Stat | Per 100 | Per game |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 18.0 | — |
| Rebounds | 8.0 | — |
| Offensive | 1.8 | — |
| Defensive | 6.2 | — |
| Assists | 2.1 | — |
| Steals | 1.5 | — |
| Blocks | 0.9 | — |
| Turnovers | 1.8 | — |
| 3-pt attempts | 8.8 | — |
| FG attempts | 15.5 | — |
| FT attempts | 4.1 | — |
| FG% · 3P% · FT% | 40.7% · 32.6% · 71.0% | |